College Football is right around the corner, making it a perfect time to get into some things to consider before you place a wager on a college football game. For one reason or another, some sports fans are steering away from the NFL and focusing more on the college game.
Bet College Football Online at the Right Sportsbook
For sports bettors, this may be a better move than you think, with some sharp bettors claiming NCAAF lines are quite a bit weaker than the NFL because less time is spent on them. Regardless of your view on that, our goal is the offer you some help wagering on college football.
The Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS 1-A) features 70 or more games every week, so the first thing you have to do is narrow down your betting menu. There are lots of ways to do this, so find your niche to trim the fat.
Maybe you avoid early week games; possibly you may stay away from point spreads of 21 or more or remove all road favorites from your list. Whatever you do, don’t concentrate on a lot of games. Find what works for you.
There are a lot of articles out there that discuss betting college football totals. Our buddy Jimmy over there at Boyds Bets put together some great numbers a little while back. He found that 55 was the most common total for NCAA Football games between the year 2000 and 2016, happening 3.32% of the time, increasing to 3.98% if you are looking at just the last 5 years of the study.
Sports Handicapping – Money Management for Sports Bettors
Surprisingly, 51 points was a distant 2 nd at 2.98% with #8 at 2.70, which separated them only by 0.28%. Perhaps the most interesting stat of the study revealed that over the first 12 years of the study (2000- 2011), 186 games finished at 65, however it happened 113 times in the last 5 years of the study.
The bottom line is scoring in college football is on the rise. Between dual threat quarterbacks, their Run Pass Option offenses and some horrible defenses, find totals that provide the most value.
Look Outside Major Conferences
As stated earlier, some claim college football lines are quite a bit weaker than the NFL. The same can be said for Mid-Major college football conferences, or any outside of the Power 5 Conferences for that matter. One well-known handicapper says that Vegas spends less time on the Mid-Major conference games and sticks to betting them all season. In the end, as sports bettors we are looking for value, no matter where you find it.
No matter what team you are talking about, no matter what sport, what league…every team has a weakness, just some are more obvious and detrimental than others. Taking special teams out of play, a football game boils down to Offense A vs. Defense B and Defense B vs. Offense A.
More specifically, games are won and lost on the line, so if your research discovers that one team has a weak o-line while the other has a strong d-line…BINGO…you cracked the code. And you can be certain that if you cracked it, so did the coaching staff.
Betting the Fade in College Football
Breaking teams down into units can be a great way to handicap a game, and always be leery of the worst unit on the field. They will be exploited, and you should exploit your bookie too.
I hope this made you even a bit better of a college football bettor. There’s a lot to learn with the college game, but it’s a lot of fun. Focus on a couple conferences, find tendencies and exploit them. Be sure to shop for lines too, because not all online sportsbooks are the same, and a point here and there at the end of the year could be your ticket to a winning season.