A new season of college football gets underway this weekend and for avid sports bettors all over the country this presents a golden opportunity to cash in on a few winners with your favorite online sportsbook. Another way to take advantage of all the action on the field to put some extra money in your pocket is to look for a couple of losers to bet against.
NCAA Football, Odds, Scores, Schedules, Stats, Previews and Predictions
The typical sports bettor has been programed to look for teams that can win a game while covering against the spread. That is why there is an automatic lean towards the favorite in almost every matchup when it comes to how the betting public bets on games. I would equate this to the game of “craps”. Most bettors will put their money on the “pass line” in hopes that the person rolling the dice hits their number. Anyone familiar with this popular casino table game also knows that there is a “no pass line” where you can actually bet against the shooter. The same concept exists in sports where you can bet against a team or “fade” them if you believe they cannot cover a spread.
Betting against a team to cover is basically the same thing as betting on the other team to win against the point spread; however it still represents a fundamental change in your mindset when it comes to betting on a game. Using recent betting trends you can easily identify the college football teams that have the worst record against the spread over the past few years. Each and every matchup should still be handicapped on its own merit, but part of that process should include making note of a particular team’s past record ATS.
If you go back over the betting results in college football for the past five years, you would find that according to Odds Shark, the Connecticut Huskies are at the top of the list when it comes to having the highest losing percentage ATS. The have failed to cover in 66.1 percent of their games with a 19-37-4 record ATS. A few other college football programs holding a prominent spot on this list within the same time frame include Virginia Tech (62.8%), Eastern Michigan (62.1%), Kansas (61.7%) and Kentucky (61.7%).
This does not mean that you should go out a bet $100 against all five of these teams in their season opener, but it should open your eyes to the idea of looking for teams to bet against as opposed to looking for teams to cover. Sometimes you come across a point spread and immediately think that the favorite will easily cover given just how good they have been playing. All you are doing with the fade is looking at a betting line and thinking that there is no way the underdog has a chance to keep this game closer than the spread.
For as many good teams as there are in college football, there are a number of programs that are downright awful. This may not be completely evident until we get a couple of weeks into a new season, but looking at last year’s results can give you a pretty good idea as to which teams belong on each of these two lists.
There is only one of two reasons why a team would have a horrible record ATS. The first is that it is way overrated and the other is that it stinks. The oddsmakers are pretty quick to make adjustments in the betting lines for teams that are not as good as projected, but sometimes it may be a few weeks before they make the proper adjustment with teams that are actually worse than expected. It is windows like this that can present the perfect opportunity to make some money fading them in a bet.